Preview

Administrative Consulting

Advanced search

Simulation of Optimum Offer Prices in the Contract System in State and Municipal Procurement

https://doi.org/10.22394/1726-1139-2019-5-53-62

Abstract

The work is aimed at solving the actual problem of estimating the optimal offer price with participation in tenders on electronic platforms. The proposed approach is based on the use of the Monte Carlo method for simulation in order not only to adequately assess the cost of the proposed project, but also to predict the demand for the project under different conditions, as well as to simulate the behavior and intentions of the auction participants. The constructed model allows us to study the pricing mechanism on electronic trading platforms. With the help of the presented simulation methods, the estimation of the optimal price of the contract proposal depending on the number of competitors and the contract value, as well as the intentions of the competitors’ participation in the auction, the simulation results are presented.

About the Author

A. N. Kislyakov
Vladimir branch of RANEPA
Russian Federation
Alexey N. Kislyakov, Associate Professor of the Chair of Information Technology, PhD in Technical Science


References

1. Gribanova E.B., Kashtanova O. V., Mitsel A. A. The system of imitating modeling of the tender which is taking place in an auction form // Proceedings of TUSUR University [Doklady TUSURa]. 2007. No. 1. P. 63–70. (In rus)

2. Zakharov, A. V., Kharlamov, A. V. On a question of application of imitating modeling by Monte Carlo method in problems of assessment of fundamental project cost of assessment // Property relations in the Russian Federation [Imushchestvennye otnosheniya v Rossiiskoi Federatsii]. 2010. No. 5. P. 28–45. (In rus)

3. Kislyakov A. N. Impact of Fourier filtration on the accuracy of the forecast of socio-economic indexes // Scientific notes [Uchenye zapiski]. 2017. No. 2. P. 78–82. (In rus)

4. Kislyakov A. N. Use of fractal dimension in the technical analysis of the cryptocurrency market // Scientific notes [Uchenye zapiski]. 2018. No. 1. P. 101–105. (In rus)

5. Kislyakov A. N. Assessment of efficiency of advertising campaign on social networks with use of methods of imitating modeling // Economy and management: problems, decisions [Ekonomika i upravlenie: problemy, resheniya]. 2019. V. 5. No. 3. P. 20–26. (In rus)

6. Kislyakov A. N. Method of virtual increase in selection when forecasting rare sales in the conditions of information asymmetry // Bulletin of the Altai Academy of Economy and Law [Vestnik Altaiskoi akademii ekonomiki i prava]. 2019. No. 1–2. P. 47–54. (In rus)

7. Kislyakov A. N., Savelyev I. I. Research of mathematical methods of the analysis and assessment of quality of the public and municipal services provided in electronic form // Economy and management: problems, decisions [Ekonomika i upravlenie: problemy, resheniya]. 2018. V. 3. No. 10. P. 48–52. (In rus)

8. Kislyakov A. N. The fractal analysis in problems of forecasting of social and economic processes // New economy and regional science [Novaya ekonomika i regional’naya nauka]. 2018. No. 1. P. 36–39. (In rus)

9. Mamiy E. A., Yakhimovich E.S. Modern approaches to risk assessment of investment projects // Economy and business: theory and practice [Ekonomika i biznes: teoriya i praktika]. 2018. No. 5. V. 1. P. 155–160. (In rus)

10. Nalivkin D.V. Use of consecutive methods of Monte Carlo for estimation of risks in the financial markets // Management of big systems [Upravlenie bol’shimi sistemami]. 2008. No. 21. P. 71–83. (In rus)

11. Rau V.G., Kislyakov A.N., Tikhonyuk N.E., Rau T.F. Principle of violation of asymmetry in models of development of economic systems experience and problems // Regional economy: experience and problems. Materials of the XIth international scientific and practical conference (Gutmansky readings) on May 15, 2018 / under a general edition of A.I. Novikov and A.E. Illarionov. Vladimir: RANEPA Vladimir branch, 2018. P. 201–211. (In rus)

12. Tikhonyuk N. E., Kislyakov A. N. Economic models of work with asymmetry of information: evolution of approaches // Regional economy: experience and problems. Materials of the XIth international scientific and practical conference (Gutmansky readings) on May 15, 2018 / under a general edition of A. I. Novikov and A. E. Illarionov. Vladimir: RANEPA Vladimir branch, 2018. P. 236–244. (In rus)


Review

For citations:


Kislyakov A.N. Simulation of Optimum Offer Prices in the Contract System in State and Municipal Procurement. Administrative Consulting. 2019;(5):53-62. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.22394/1726-1139-2019-5-53-62

Views: 504


ISSN 1726-1139 (Print)
ISSN 1816-8590 (Online)