Component-Element Composition of National Economy Forecasting and Planning Methodology
https://doi.org/10.22394/1726-1139-2022-8-46-55
Abstract
The methodology and its components play a crucial role in forming the necessary basis for forecasting and planning the national economy. The work found that in the literature there is no generally accepted understanding of the content of the methodology of forecasting and planning work, which leads to ambiguous interpretations in the selection of its parts, complicating the analysis of practical application. The aim of the study is to determine the complex of key components and elements of the methodology based on the understanding of foresight and design of the future as creative and transformative activity and to test the element-byelement structure using the example of forecasting and planning in Russia.
The novelty of the research lies in the creation of a decomposition model of the category “methodology of forecasting and planning of the national economy”. The obtained results of the study made it possible to single out such components of the methodology as the foundations, order, methods, results, monitoring of forecast and planned work; the elements of the methodology were typologized principles, approaches, logic, actions, algorithms, typologies, methods, technologies, parameters, indicators, documents, document systems, audit and adjustment. The practical significance of the results obtained is determined by the possibility of their application in the practice of state regulation of the economy, allowing one to identify, evaluate and correct the implementation of the component-element composition of the methodology in modern practice of public administration.
The research prospects are to study the possibilities of including new elements in the methodology, as well as complementing approaches and methods that allow for effective forecasting and planning in the post-industrial economy.
About the Author
Yu. I. Busheneva
Pushkin Leningrad State University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Yulia i. Busheneva, Associate Professor of Department of Economics and Management, Candidate of Political Sciences, Associate Professor, Specializing in Economic Theory
Saint Petersburg
References
1. Bazarov V. A. To the methodology of long-term planning // Selected works. / ed. A. A. White. M. : Delo, RANEPA, 2014.Vol. 1. P. 314–333 (in Rus).
2. Boush G. D. Business clusters: categorical-systemic presentation: monograph. Omsk : Publishing house of Omsk state University, 2011. 244 p. (in Rus).
3. Buzgalin A. V., Kolganov A. I. Planning in the economy of the XXI century: what and for what? // Terra economicus. 2017. Vol. 15. N 1. P. 29–43 (in Rus).
4. Busheneva Yu. I. Definition and essential characteristics of the methodology for forecasting and planning the development of the national economy // Central Russian Bulletin of Social Sciences [Srednerusskii vestnik obshchestvennykh nauk]. 2019. Vol. 14. N 5. P. 141–155 (in Rus).
5. Glazyev S.Yu. et al. On the strategy of development of the Russian economy: preprint / ed. S. Yu. Glazyev. M. : UN RAS, 2011. 48 p. (in Rus).
6. Granberg A. G. Modeling a socialist economy. M. : Economics, 1988. 487 p. (in Rus).
7. Kovalevsky N. A. Reconstruction Plan Methodology / Master Plan Commission. State Planning Committee of the USSR. M. : Planned economy, 1928. 41 p. (in Rus).
8. Kondratyev N. D. Plan and foresight // Economic Issues [Voprosy ekonomiki]. 1992. N 4–6. P. 91–108.
9. Leontiev V. V. Interindustry economics /scient. ed. A. G. Granberg. M. : Economics, 1997. 479 p. (in Rus).
10. Methods for planning intersectoral proportions / ed. A. N. Efimova, L.№Ya. Berry. M. : Economics, 1965. 351 p.(in Rus).
11. Novikov A. M., Novikov D. A. Methodology: vocabulary of the system of basic concepts. M. : Librokom, 2013. 208 p. (in Rus).
12. Peresada V. P., Smirnov N. V., Smirnova T. E. Static and dynamic models of a multi-product economy. SPb. : G. V. Fedorov Publishing House, 2017. 140 p. (in Rus).
13. Pisareva O. M. Systemic bases for the formation of strategic planning methodology in the context of the introduction of digital management technologies // System analysis in economics. 2018. Proceedings of the V International scientific-practical conference-biennale / total ed. G. B. Kleiner, S. E. Shchepetova. M., 2018. P. 437–440 (in Rus).
14. Rudneva E. V. Methodology and organizational and economic mechanism of program planning and management : Dissertation abstract. M., 1990. 40 p. (in Rus).
15. Ryzhakina T. G. Integrated planning tools in the process of implementing enterprise strategy: monograph. Tomsk : Publishing house of Tomsk Polytechnic University, 2013. 144 p. (in Rus).
16. Safronov M. A. Improving the methodology of strategic planning for the development of a spatial socio-economic system — a region : Dissertation abstract. SPb., 2013. 21 p. (in Rus).
17. Starinsky V. N. Methodology of the science of «prognostics» — the basis for forecasting market situations // Economics. Business. Right. 2017. N 7–9. P. 4–24 (in Rus).
18. Tkhakushinov E. K. Regional strategic planning: methodology and instrumental support: on the materials of the Republic of Adygea : Dissertation abstract. Maykop, 2003. 21 p. (in Rus).
19. Fedotova G. V. Development of the methodology of program-targeted planning of economic processes based on the institutionalization of feedbacks in management : Dissertation abstract. Kursk, 2015. 22 p. (in Rus).
20. Finogenov A. V. Subject and methodological foundations of forecasting and planning in a market economy // Forecasting and planning in a market / ed. F. L. Sharov. M. : MIEP, 2007. 96 p. (in Rus).
Review
For citations:
Busheneva Yu.I. Component-Element Composition of National Economy Forecasting and Planning Methodology. Administrative Consulting. 2022;(8):46-55. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.22394/1726-1139-2022-8-46-55
Views:
348
Email this article 