Analysis of Risks and Opportunities of the Shanghai Stock Exchange in the Global Economy
EDN: LKFUGA
Abstract
The purpose of the article is a comprehensive analysis of the functioning and development of the Shanghai Stock Exchange in the conditions of internationalization of the world economy and strengthening of China’s role in the international financial arena. The exchange is presented as a crucial element of the global financial system, with the identification of its potential, problems and prospects in the conditions of transformation of the world economy of the XXI century. The article uses a mixed methodological approach that combines both quantitative (statistical, dynamic) and qualitative (comparative, normative) research methods. Special attention is paid to the dynamics of capitalization, trading volumes, investment attraction and evolution of SSE market infrastructure. The paper emphasizes the significance of the RMB as a growing international currency and its role in enhancing the competitiveness of the Chinese financial market.
The paper also describes the specifics of the SSE’s trading organization, including the dual currency system of A and B shares, the absence of a short-selling mechanism and market makers, and the high proportion of individual investors. Data on the number of listed companies, turnover volumes and changes in major indices, including the SSE Composite, are given. It analyzes the place of the Shanghai Stock Exchange among the world’s largest stock exchanges in terms of capitalization, where it ranks 4th.
A special emphasis is made on internal and external risks to which the Chinese stock market is exposed, including dependence on macroeconomic conditions, geopolitical factors and insufficient development of the legal framework. At the same time, it is shown that effective state management measures and consistent internationalization policy allowed China to strengthen the position of the SSE as one of the central elements of the international financial system. The article demonstrates that despite the existing challenges, the Chinese stock market maintains a steady trend towards growth and modernization.
About the Author
Seungkyu YoonRussian Federation
Yoon Seungkyu, PhD candidate
Saint Petersburg
References
1. Arslanalp S., Eichengreen B., Simpson-Bell C. The stealth erosion of dollar dominance and the rise of nontraditional reserve currencies // Journal of International Economics. 2022. Vol. 138. P. 103656. DOI 10.1016/j.jinteco.2022.103656.
2. Buckham D. The end of money: the great erosion of trust in banking, China’s minsky moment and the fallacy of cryptocurrency. Kenilworth. Cape Town: Mercury an imprint of Burnet Media. 2021. P. 42–49.
3. Cai W. Determinants of the renminbi anchor effect: From the perspective of the belt and road initiative // International Journal of Finance & Economics. 2022. Vol. 27. Iss. 3. P. 3421–3433.
4. Clayton C., Santos A., Maggiori M., Schreger J. Internationalizing Like China // Working Papers (Faculty). — Stanford Graduate School of Business. 2022. Vol. 1 (70). P. 71.
5. Cui Wei The administrative foundations of the Chinese fiscal state Cambridge, United Kingdom. New York. NY: Cambridge University Press. 2022. P. 61–72.
6. Dillon M. China in the age of Xi Jinping. Abingdon, Oxon. New York: Routledge. 2021. P. 71–75.
7. Gao Yichen, Li Hongjun, Li Qi The misalignments in Chinese real effective exchange rate from 1994 to 2020: A counterfactual analysis // China Economic Review. 2022. Vol. 75. P. 101828.
8. Hao Kaixuan, Han Liyan, Li Tony Wei The impact of China’s currency swap lines on bilateral trade // International Review of Economics & Finance. 2022. Vol. 81. P. 173–183.
9. Jing Li, Li Maohua, Almadi B., Bárczi J. The factor analysis of share price for Chinese listed banks from the angle of risk management control // Modern Science — Moderni Veda. 2017. Vol. 3. P. 62–76.
10. Li Lijun, Xu Feng Does Shanghai International Financial Center Promote RMB Internationalization? // Discrete Dynamics in Nature & Society. 2022. Vol. 6. Iss. 6. P. 1–8. DOI 10.1155/2022/4000024.
11. Nam Soojoong, Bi Weining, Kim D. The SDR and influences on the currency swap agreements for RMB // Applied Economics Letters. 2022. Vol. 29. Iss. 16. P. 1489–1492. DOI 10.1080/13504851.2021.1940077.
12. Wang Yang-Chao, Tsai Jui-Jung, You En The impact of RMB internationalization on the exchange rate linkages in China and ASEAN countries // Applied Economics. 2022. Vol. 54. Iss. 43. P. 4961–4978. DOI 10.1080/00036846.2022.2039367.
13. Wu Yuliang, Bowe M. Information Disclosure, Market Discipline and the Management of Bank Capital: Evidence from the Chinese Financial Sector // Journal of Financial Services Research. 2010. Vol. 38. Iss. 2-3. P. 159-186. DOI 10.1007/s10693-010-0091-6.
14. Yin Wei, Zhu Zheyi, Kirkulak-Uludag Berna, Zhu Yaping The determinants of green credit and its impact on the performance of Chinese banks // Journal of Cleaner Production. 2021. Vol. 3. P. 286. DOI 10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.124991.
Review
For citations:
Yoon S. Analysis of Risks and Opportunities of the Shanghai Stock Exchange in the Global Economy. Administrative Consulting. 2025;(4):123-136. (In Russ.) EDN: LKFUGA