Modeling of the Market of Internal Russian Passenger Air Transportation
https://doi.org/10.22394/1726-1139-2018-4-85-93
Abstract
In the article the market of passenger air transportation is modelled, as theoretical model the system of the equations demand-supply is used. Results of assessment of model on data on domestic market for 2013 show that demand is a little more sensitive to the change in price, than the supply. In addition, according to the received estimates, demand is expected above with a growth of number and the income of the population and during the periods of the increased tourist activity whereas growth of airport collecting significantly reduces the offer of airlines. In the work, the case analysis of separate effects in the market of passenger air transportation is carried out also. Results demonstrate that in the absence of other shocks leaving of Transaero from the market had to lead to increase in prices on the corresponding routes for 4,6%. In addition, calculation of potential dynamics of a passenger traffic depending on realization of one of three scenarios of the taxation in the oil sector has been carried out.
About the Authors
A. O. Tomaev
Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
research associate of laboratory of the system analysis of the branch markets, Institute of the branch markets and infrastructure of RANEPA
A. S. Kaukin
Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
head of the laboratory of the system analysis of the branch markets, Institute of the branch markets and infrastructure of RANEPA, head of the laboratory of the branch markets and infrastructures of the Scientific direction “Real Sector”, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, PhD in Economics
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Review
For citations:
Tomaev A.O., Kaukin A.S. Modeling of the Market of Internal Russian Passenger Air Transportation. Administrative Consulting. 2018;(4):85-93. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.22394/1726-1139-2018-4-85-93
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